Providence leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Providence typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Providence, ~21% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Providence compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Providence leans more Republican than 59 of 73 neighbors.
Providence runs about 39 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Providence. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 52 points.
Why Providence leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Providence, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 15% of adults in Providence hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the North Carolina average of 27%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Providence, NC sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Providence looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Providence is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Blanch, NC R+10
- Hamer, NC Even
- Yanceyville, NC D+4
- Pleasant Grove, NC D+3
- Pelham, NC R+36
- Hightowers, NC D+18
- Milton, NC R+3
- Danville, VA D+13
- Ringgold, VA R+38
- Whitfield, VA R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Braham, MN R+39
- Holly Pond, AL R+84
- Eastsound, WA D+57
- New Auburn, WI R+37
- Trafford, AL R+80
- Tremont, IL R+47
- Granger, IA R+32
- Heathsville, VA R+15
- Mustang, TX R+27
- Sedalia, CO R+23
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.