Rainbow Valley leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Rainbow Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rainbow Valley, ~27% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rainbow Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Rainbow Valley leans more Republican than 17 of 21 neighbors.
Rainbow Valley runs about 24 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why Rainbow Valley leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Rainbow Valley. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Rainbow Valley, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Rainbow Valley looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Rainbow Valley own their home, about 18 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Rainbow Valley sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Liberty, AZ R+41
- Goodyear, AZ R+8
- Buckeye, AZ R+16
- Perryville, AZ R+21
- Avondale, AZ D+16
- Tolleson, AZ D+25
- Palo Verde, AZ R+44
- Litchfield Park, AZ R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mauk, GA R+65
- Cumby, TX R+73
- Lafe, AR R+68
- Guys Mills, PA R+55
- Watauga, TN R+69
- Blue Mound, IL R+57
- Au Sable Forks, NY R+13
- Duck Hill, MS Even
- Simmons, TX R+54
- Springfield, AR R+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.