Randall County leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Randall County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Randall County, ~18% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Randall County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Randall County leans more Republican than 3 of 8 neighbors.
Randall County runs about 33 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Randall County. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+79) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 46 points.
Why Randall County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Randall County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Randall County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 74%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Randall County, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Randall County looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 94% of adults in Randall County have completed high school, about 8 points above the Texas average of 86%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Potter County, TX R+19
- Armstrong County, TX R+77
- Oldham County, TX R+80
- Deaf Smith County, TX R+30
- Carson County, TX R+75
- Swisher County, TX R+48
- Hutchinson County, TX R+60
- Castro County, TX R+40
- Moore County, TX R+32
- Donley County, TX R+66
Counties with Similar Populations
- Wright County, MN R+28
- Spotsylvania County, VA R+8
- Monroe County, IN D+29
- Livingston Parish, LA R+66
- Schuylkill County, PA R+36
- Taylor County, TX R+36
- Jackson County, MS R+30
- Lebanon County, PA R+31
- Napa County, CA D+32
- Marathon County, WI R+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.