Carson County is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Carson County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carson County, ~10% vote Democratic, ~76% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carson County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Carson County leans more Republican than 5 of 7 neighbors.
Carson County runs about 61 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Carson County. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+86) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+63), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Carson County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carson County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in Carson County drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Carson County, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Carson County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 80% of households in Carson County own their home, about 6 points above the Texas average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 94% of adults in Carson County have completed high school, above 85% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Armstrong County, TX R+77
- Hutchinson County, TX R+60
- Gray County, TX R+59
- Potter County, TX R+19
- Randall County, TX R+46
- Donley County, TX R+66
- Roberts County, TX R+90
- Moore County, TX R+32
- Hansford County, TX R+68
- Wheeler County, TX R+67
Counties with Similar Populations
- Gilpin County, CO D+16
- Ontonagon County, MI R+26
- Garza County, TX R+30
- Mitchell County, KS R+58
- Sullivan County, PA R+50
- Stanton County, NE R+64
- Emporia City, VA D+43
- Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area, AK R+18
- Covington City, VA R+29
- Ottawa County, KS R+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.