Deaf Smith County leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Deaf Smith County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Deaf Smith County, ~17% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Deaf Smith County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Deaf Smith County leans more Republican than 1 of 7 neighbors.
Deaf Smith County runs about 16 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Deaf Smith County. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+66) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 43 points.
Why Deaf Smith County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Deaf Smith County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in Deaf Smith County hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Texas average of 26%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Deaf Smith County runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Deaf Smith County are family households, above 94% of counties.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Deaf Smith County, TX does.
Why turnout in Deaf Smith County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Deaf Smith County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 11 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 33% of households in Deaf Smith County rent, above 83% of counties. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 70% of adults in Deaf Smith County have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Castro County, TX R+40
- Parmer County, TX R+50
- Oldham County, TX R+80
- Randall County, TX R+46
- Potter County, TX R+19
- Swisher County, TX R+48
- Bailey County, TX R+49
- Curry County, NM R+34
- Lamb County, TX R+57
- Armstrong County, TX R+77
Counties with Similar Populations
- Randolph County, AR R+63
- Hampton County, SC D+9
- Andrews County, TX R+62
- Clay County, MS D+18
- Warren County, NC D+19
- Cedar County, IA R+34
- Poweshiek County, IA R+19
- Lamar County, GA R+36
- Bethel Census Area, AK D+18
- Fentress County, TN R+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.