Rock Creek, Little Rock, AR Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Rock Creek

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Rock Creek leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.

 

About 77% of adults in Rock Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rock Creek, ~43% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Rock Creek compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Rock Creek leans more Democratic than 1 of 7 neighbors.

Rock Creek runs about 43 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Rock Creek is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Rock Creek. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+29) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 31 points.

Why Rock Creek leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rock Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rock Creek votes against the grain of Arkansas. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Rock Creek runs about 43 points more Democratic. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Rock Creek sits in the top quarter (about 56%, above 77% of neighborhoods).

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Rock Creek, Little Rock, AR sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Rock Creek looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Rock Creek is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.