North Beach leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 53% of adults in North Beach typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Beach, ~21% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Beach compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, North Beach leans more Republican than 4 of 6 neighbors.
North Beach runs about 6 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North Beach. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 17 points.
Why North Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican, and North Beach sits in the bottom quarter on developed land relative to similar places.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; North Beach, Atlantic Beach, FL sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in North Beach looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 63% of households in North Beach rent, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Atlantic Beaches, Atlantic Beach, FL R+15
- Girvin, Jacksonville, FL R+27
- Fort Caroline Shores, Jacksonville, FL R+29
- East Arlington, Jacksonville, FL R+14
- Cobblestone, Jacksonville, FL R+5
- Golden Glades-The Woods, Jacksonville, FL R+17
- Hidden Hills, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Beacon Hills and Harbour, Jacksonville, FL R+27
- Isle of Palms, Jacksonville Beach, FL R+39
- Sandalwood, Jacksonville, FL R+6
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- South Broad Street, Newark, NJ D+63
- West Colorado Springs, Colorado Springs, CO D+14
- Juanita, Kirkland, WA D+44
- Highlandtown, Baltimore, MD D+55
- Montclaire South, Charlotte, NC D+52
- Rock Creek, Little Rock, AR D+12
- Westside, Grand Rapids, MI D+7
- Spanos Park, Stockton, CA D+6
- Armour Square, Chicago, IL D+16
- Hollywood Hills, Hollywood, FL D+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.