Rye leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Rye typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rye, ~18% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rye compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Rye leans more Republican than 3 of 6 neighbors.
Rye runs about 44 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why Rye leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rye, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Rye live in densely developed areas, about 38 points below the Arizona average of 39%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Rye are family households, above 80% of cities.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Rye, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Rye looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. More than 99% of households in Rye own their home, about 27 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Jakes Corner, AZ R+57
- Payson, AZ R+42
- Star Valley, AZ R+53
- Tonto Basin, AZ R+58
- Strawberry, AZ R+46
- Pine, AZ R+44
- Young, AZ R+58
- Rio Verde, AZ R+26
- Alchesay Flat, AZ D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Elmora, PA R+60
- East Craftsbury, VT D+17
- East Oolitic, IN R+55
- Kahakuloa, HI D+12
- Fairdale, AL R+13
- Otego, KS R+76
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.