Rio Verde leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Rio Verde typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rio Verde, ~33% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rio Verde compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Rio Verde leans more Republican than 7 of 11 neighbors.
Rio Verde runs about 21 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Rio Verde. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Rio Verde leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rio Verde, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rio Verde votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 46%, modestly above the Arizona average of 39%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Rio Verde, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Rio Verde looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Rio Verde is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in Rio Verde own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Rio Verde have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Alchesay Flat, AZ D+6
- Fort McDowell, AZ D+43
- Fountain Hills, AZ R+21
- Carefree, AZ R+26
- Scottsdale, AZ R+3
- Cave Creek, AZ R+22
- Paradise Valley, AZ R+15
- Goldfield, AZ R+47
- Mesa, AZ R+7
- Apache Junction, AZ R+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Murphys, CA R+7
- Bainbridge, OH R+61
- Otisville, NY R+16
- Thomaston, ME R+8
- Winner, SD R+52
- Bethel Acres, OK R+63
- Olivia, NC R+48
- Evarts, KY R+80
- Dassel, MN R+42
- Fort Recovery, OH R+78
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.