Saragosa leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Saragosa typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Saragosa, ~16% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Saragosa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Saragosa is the least Republican-leaning.
Saragosa runs about 35 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Saragosa. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+49) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Saragosa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Saragosa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Saragosa hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points below the Texas average of 26%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 91% of households in Saragosa are family households, in the top fraction of cities.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Saragosa, TX does.
Why turnout in Saragosa looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Saragosa is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 14 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Balmorhea, TX R+50
- Verhalen, TX R+49
- Toyah, TX R+50
- Toyahvale, TX R+51
- Pecos, TX R+27
- Fort Davis, TX R+51
- Barstow, TX R+31
- Coyanosa, TX R+52
- Fort Stockton, TX R+25
- Alpine, TX R+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Headlee, IN R+56
- Blue Mountain, AR R+72
- Lake Bluff, NY R+28
- Lake City, IL R+61
- Smyrna Center, ME R+48
- Lewis Creek, IN R+64
- Rural Hill, NY R+34
- Travellers Rest, KY R+80
- Speidel, OH R+60
- South Bridgton, ME R+15
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.