Scotsdale leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Scotsdale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Scotsdale, ~21% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Scotsdale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Scotsdale leans more Republican than 84 of 123 neighbors.
Scotsdale runs about 27 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Scotsdale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Scotsdale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Scotsdale drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Scotsdale are family households, above 84% of cities.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a low frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Scotsdale, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in Scotsdale looks the way it does
Turnout in Scotsdale sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- House Springs, MO R+45
- Byrnes Mill, MO R+40
- Cedar Hill, MO R+49
- High Ridge, MO R+36
- Cedar Hill Lakes, MO R+54
- Parkdale, MO R+40
- Eureka, MO R+25
- Morse Mill, MO R+51
- Times Beach, MO R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Allen, NE R+62
- Slayden, TN R+66
- Persimmon, GA R+55
- Hartleton, PA R+66
- Mondamin, IA R+48
- Babbie, AL R+91
- West Ossipee, NH R+6
- Etna Center, ME R+41
- Beech Creek, KY R+59
- Rousculp, OH R+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.