Scott Bar, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Scott Bar

Scott Bar leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.

 
Scott Bar, CA block-group political-lean map
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About 58% of adults in Scott Bar typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Scott Bar, ~22% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Scott Bar, CA block-group voter-turnout map
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How Scott Bar compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Scott Bar leans more Republican than 3 of 11 neighbors.

Scott Bar runs about 46 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Scott Bar is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Scott Bar. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+32) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 17 points.

Why Scott Bar leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Scott Bar, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Scott Bar live in densely developed areas, about 55 points below the California average of 58%. Scott Bar runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Developed land and Republican lean

Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Scott Bar, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Scott Bar looks the way it does

Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in Scott Bar have more than one occupant per room, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Cities with Similar Populations

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.