Mugginsville leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Mugginsville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mugginsville, ~25% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mugginsville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mugginsville leans more Republican than 7 of 13 neighbors.
Mugginsville runs about 49 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Mugginsville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mugginsville. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Mugginsville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mugginsville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Mugginsville live in densely developed areas, about 56 points below the California average of 58%. Mugginsville runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Mugginsville, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Mugginsville looks the way it does
Turnout in Mugginsville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Oro Fino, CA R+33
- Greenview, CA R+33
- Scott Bar, CA R+26
- Fort Jones, CA R+31
- Etna, CA R+24
- Horse Creek, CA R+27
- Klamath River, CA R+31
- Callahan, CA R+26
- Yreka, CA R+23
- Grenada, CA R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Seneca, MI R+52
- Green Mountain, MO R+72
- Hanford, IA R+40
- Forest Lakes, AZ R+41
- Kerns, VA R+77
- Gilead, IL R+57
- Hicks, IL R+61
- Evansville, AR R+56
- Blue Goose, TN R+66
- Trinity, IN R+74
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.