Scott County is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Scott County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Scott County, ~9% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Scott County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Scott County is the most Republican-leaning.
Scott County runs about 40 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Scott County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Scott County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Scott County hold a bachelor's degree, about 5 points below the Arkansas average of 18%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Scott County sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 10%, below 81% of counties).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Scott County, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Scott County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Scott County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in Scott County have completed high school, below 87% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Polk County, AR R+63
- Logan County, AR R+63
- Sebastian County, AR R+29
- Le Flore County, OK R+63
- Montgomery County, AR R+67
- Franklin County, AR R+64
- Crawford County, AR R+54
- Yell County, AR R+59
- Sequoyah County, OK R+58
- Johnson County, AR R+54
Counties with Similar Populations
- Swift County, MN R+35
- Duval County, TX R+10
- Emery County, UT R+73
- Montgomery County, MS R+2
- Pulaski County, GA R+31
- Sac County, IA R+51
- Martin County, IN R+59
- Mountrail County, ND R+35
- Grundy County, MO R+57
- Parmer County, TX R+50
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.