Parmer County leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Parmer County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Parmer County, ~15% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Parmer County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Parmer County leans more Republican than 5 of 6 neighbors.
Parmer County runs about 36 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Parmer County. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+86) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+35), a spread of about 51 points.
Why Parmer County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Parmer County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 83% of residents in Parmer County drive to work alone, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Parmer County sits in the bottom quarter (about 17%, below 77% of counties). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Parmer County are family households, in the top fraction of counties.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Parmer County, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Parmer County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Parmer County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 6 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 68% of adults in Parmer County have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Bailey County, TX R+49
- Curry County, NM R+34
- Castro County, TX R+40
- Deaf Smith County, TX R+30
- Roosevelt County, NM R+37
- Lamb County, TX R+57
- Oldham County, TX R+80
- Cochran County, TX R+47
- Swisher County, TX R+48
- Quay County, NM R+32
Counties with Similar Populations
- Lanier County, GA R+43
- Pulaski County, GA R+31
- Sabine County, TX R+72
- Runnels County, TX R+64
- Swift County, MN R+35
- Scott County, AR R+70
- Duval County, TX R+10
- Emery County, UT R+73
- Montgomery County, MS R+2
- Sac County, IA R+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.