Scotts Fork leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Scotts Fork typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Scotts Fork, ~24% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Scotts Fork compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Scotts Fork leans more Republican than 50 of 64 neighbors.
Scotts Fork runs about 44 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Scotts Fork is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Scotts Fork. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Scotts Fork leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Scotts Fork, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Scotts Fork votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Scotts Fork runs about 44 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Scotts Fork are family households, above 80% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Scotts Fork, VA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Scotts Fork looks the way it does
Turnout in Scotts Fork sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mannboro, VA R+36
- Amelia Court House, VA R+39
- Chula, VA R+34
- Ammon, VA R+30
- Denaro, VA R+45
- Clayville, VA R+14
- Spainville, VA R+34
- Genito, VA R+47
- Moseley, VA R+9
- Maplewood, VA R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Peoria, TX R+76
- Bucklin, KS R+76
- Noti, OR R+21
- Fannin, MS R+71
- Stotts City, MO R+73
- Lewistown, OH R+70
- Spurlock, KY R+75
- Midvale, OH R+57
- Comfrey, MN R+63
- Aguila, AZ R+52
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.