Scotts Mills leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Scotts Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Scotts Mills, ~32% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Scotts Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Scotts Mills leans more Republican than 22 of 59 neighbors.
Scotts Mills runs about 40 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Scotts Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Scotts Mills. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+32) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Scotts Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Scotts Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Scotts Mills votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Scotts Mills runs about 40 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in Scotts Mills are family households, above 95% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Scotts Mills, OR sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Scotts Mills looks the way it does
Turnout in Scotts Mills sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Benedict, OR R+31
- Silverton, OR R+14
- Monitor, OR R+37
- Oaklawn, OR R+35
- Mount Angel, OR R+17
- Hamricks Corner, OR R+36
- Shady Dell, OR R+28
- Pratum, OR R+41
- Molalla, OR R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ross, OH R+61
- Stratford, TX R+64
- Canterbury, NH D+8
- Abrams, WI R+44
- Hoyt Lakes, MN R+15
- Lepanto, AR R+49
- Madison, MN R+37
- Ainsworth, NE R+75
- Pocahontas, IL R+54
- Athens, MI R+45
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.