Selma is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Selma typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Selma, ~27% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Selma compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Selma sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 30 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 6 leaning the other way.
Selma runs about 31 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Selma sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Selma. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+24) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+29), a spread of about 53 points.
Why Selma leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Selma, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Selma votes against the grain of Arkansas. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Selma runs about 31 points more Democratic.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Selma, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Selma looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 84% of adults in Selma have completed high school, about 6 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Florence, AR D+18
- Reed, AR R+23
- Yukon, AR D+22
- Cominto, AR R+59
- Jerome, AR R+46
- Collins, AR R+41
- Winchester, AR R+14
- Tillar, AR R+21
- McGehee, AR R+6
- Pickens, AR R+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Salem Corners, MN R+34
- Prospect, NC R+27
- Farnsworth, TX R+89
- Windemere, ME R+28
- Glencliff, NH R+7
- DeLay, MS R+73
- Rimini, SC D+6
- Captiva, FL R+34
- Cedar Grove, GA R+67
- West Brooklyn, IL R+39
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.