Collins leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Collins typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Collins, ~20% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Collins compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Collins leans more Republican than 17 of 36 neighbors.
Collins runs about 10 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Collins. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Collins leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Collins, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Collins live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in Collins are family households, above 95% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Collins, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Collins looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in Collins own their home, about 19 points above the Arkansas average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cominto, AR R+59
- Dermott, AR D+33
- Jerome, AR R+46
- Selma, AR Even
- Montrose, AR R+49
- Halley Junction, AR R+29
- McGehee, AR R+6
- Bellaire, AR R+57
- Reed, AR R+23
- Ladelle, AR R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oakley, WI R+33
- Octave, AZ R+53
- Young, TX R+78
- Allred, TN R+71
- Manry, VA R+33
- Learned, MS R+44
- Ti, OK R+68
- Rockfish, VA R+34
- Wallville, MD R+36
- Midvale Corner, WA D+45
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.