Selma, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Selma

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Selma is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.

 

About 41% of adults in Selma typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Selma, ~20% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Selma compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Selma sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 34 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 6 leaning the other way.

Selma runs about 19 points more Republican than California as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Selma. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 20 points.

Why Selma leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Selma. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Selma, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Selma looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Selma is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 20%, about 10 points above the California average of 10%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in Selma rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in Selma report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

All Local Stats

Home Services

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.