Elm View leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 42% of adults in Elm View typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elm View, ~13% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elm View compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elm View leans more Republican than 30 of 38 neighbors.
Elm View runs about 56 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Elm View is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elm View. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Elm View leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elm View, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elm View votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Elm View runs about 56 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Elm View, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Elm View looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Elm View is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 16 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 53% of households in Elm View rent, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 33% of adults in Elm View report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Caruthers, CA R+23
- Monmouth, CA R+26
- Burrel, CA R+27
- Raisin, CA R+25
- Wildflower, CA R+36
- Fowler, CA R+13
- Oleander, CA R+37
- Laton, CA R+37
- Riverdale, CA R+34
- Selma, CA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- East Charleston, VT R+32
- Sheshequin, PA R+60
- Bromley, AL R+66
- Sibley, IL R+57
- Phillipsburg, GA R+26
- Mollie, NC R+72
- Frazer, MT R+21
- Freeman Spur, IL R+53
- Fishers Island, NY D+21
- Goldbug, KY R+65
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.