Serafina leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Serafina typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Serafina, ~35% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Serafina compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Serafina leans more Democratic than 28 of 30 neighbors.
Serafina runs about 26 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Serafina. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+40) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Serafina leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Serafina, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 36% of adults in Serafina have never been married, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 21%).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Serafina, NM sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Serafina looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Serafina is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 6 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Serafina report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chapelle, NM D+29
- El Ancon, NM D+8
- Ribera, NM D+31
- Sena, NM D+40
- Pueblo, NM D+31
- Tecolote, NM D+17
- San Jose, NM D+13
- Soham, NM D+8
- Gabaldon, NM Even
- Villanueva, NM D+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Chicken Bristle, KY R+62
- Red Oak, IL R+45
- Eurekaton, TN R+44
- Town Hill, PA R+54
- Karval, CO R+69
- Milberger, KS R+72
- Meriden, WY R+59
- Provo, AR R+73
- Buckhorn, AL R+49
- Craycraft, KY R+76
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.