Shadow Lawn leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Shadow Lawn typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shadow Lawn, ~30% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shadow Lawn compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shadow Lawn leans more Republican than 15 of 76 neighbors.
Shadow Lawn runs about 27 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Shadow Lawn is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Shadow Lawn. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+67) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+39), a spread of about 106 points.
Why Shadow Lawn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shadow Lawn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Shadow Lawn votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Shadow Lawn runs about 27 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Shadow Lawn sits in the bottom quarter (about 9%, below 95% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Shadow Lawn, IL sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Shadow Lawn looks the way it does
Turnout in Shadow Lawn sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Momence, IL R+25
- Pembroke Township, IL D+62
- Hopkins Park, IL D+69
- Schneider, IN R+58
- Lake Village, IN R+58
- Grant Park, IL R+40
- Sherburnville, IL R+42
- Sun River Terrace, IL Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Logansport, KY R+65
- Purcell, PA R+77
- Denmark, VA R+26
- Udell, IA R+51
- Dyckesville, WI R+42
- South Ripley, NY R+47
- Klotz, VA R+60
- Freeburg, MN R+28
- Bruly St. Martin, LA R+60
- Menomonie Junction, WI R+25
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.