Shaw is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Shaw typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shaw, ~46% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shaw compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shaw leans more Democratic than 60 of 66 neighbors.
Shaw runs about 84 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Shaw is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Shaw. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+73) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+34), a spread of about 107 points.
Why Shaw leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shaw, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Shaw votes against the grain of Mississippi. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Shaw runs about 84 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 44% of adults in Shaw have never been married, above 96% of cities.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Shaw, MS sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Shaw looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Shaw is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 5%, about 55 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in Shaw rent, above 92% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 39% of adults in Shaw report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- O'reilly, MS D+18
- Fairview, MS R+3
- Skene, MS R+37
- Boyer, MS R+4
- Steiner, MS R+21
- Boyle, MS R+23
- Longshot, MS R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Landisburg, PA R+61
- Montague, MA D+40
- Roodhouse, IL R+49
- Dunsmuir, CA Even
- Niangua, MO R+71
- Barker, NY R+37
- Prattsburgh, NY R+44
- Grundy, VA R+58
- Barneveld, WI Even
- Cascade, WI R+43
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.