Shelby Basin leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Shelby Basin typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shelby Basin, ~15% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shelby Basin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shelby Basin leans more Republican than 81 of 99 neighbors.
Shelby Basin runs about 57 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Shelby Basin is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Shelby Basin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shelby Basin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Shelby Basin votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Shelby Basin runs about 57 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Shelby Basin are family households, above 83% of cities.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Shelby Basin, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Shelby Basin looks the way it does
Turnout in Shelby Basin sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Medina, NY R+23
- West Shelby, NY R+44
- Middleport, NY R+34
- Millville, NY R+44
- Ridgeway, NY R+49
- Jeddo, NY R+47
- Knowlesville, NY R+44
- Oak Orchard, NY R+46
- Wheatville, NY R+38
- McNalls, NY R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Abbot, ME R+44
- Bentonville, OH R+65
- Pedlar Mills, VA R+48
- Kipling, NC R+45
- Millwood, MO R+65
- Cherokee Pass, MO R+68
- Hessville, NY R+48
- Ihlen, MN R+62
- Hanna, OK R+58
- Kennard, PA R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.