Shenandoah is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Shenandoah typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shenandoah, ~18% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shenandoah compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shenandoah leans more Republican than 62 of 79 neighbors.
Shenandoah runs about 61 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Shenandoah is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Shenandoah. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+46), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Shenandoah leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shenandoah, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 9% of adults in Shenandoah hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Shenandoah runs against that pattern. Shenandoah runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Shenandoah, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Shenandoah looks the way it does
Turnout in Shenandoah sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Grove Hill, VA R+61
- Jollett, VA R+64
- Elkton, VA R+54
- Pine Grove, VA R+63
- Tenth Legion, VA R+58
- Stanley, VA R+61
- Massanutten, VA R+20
- Swift Run, VA R+62
- Keezletown, VA R+40
- Battle Creek, VA R+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gamewell, NC R+48
- Oologah, OK R+59
- Nancy, KY R+66
- Homerville, GA R+45
- Black Hawk, SD R+46
- Mantachie, MS R+85
- Waukon, IA R+29
- Glendora, NJ R+4
- Smith Mills, MA R+5
- Seminary, MS R+81
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.