Elkton is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Elkton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elkton, ~18% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elkton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elkton leans more Republican than 59 of 79 neighbors.
Elkton runs about 60 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Elkton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elkton. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+59) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+47), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Elkton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elkton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elkton votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Elkton runs about 60 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Elkton sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 83% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Elkton, VA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Elkton looks the way it does
Turnout in Elkton sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Swift Run, VA R+62
- Massanutten, VA R+20
- Jollett, VA R+64
- Island Ford, VA R+55
- Shenandoah, VA R+56
- Mc Gaheysville, VA R+32
- Grove Hill, VA R+61
- Keezletown, VA R+40
- Shady Grove, VA R+36
- Penn Laird, VA R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Folkston, GA R+34
- Hayward, WI R+3
- Westmoreland, TN R+69
- Los Altos Hills, CA D+23
- Summit Park, UT D+36
- Lake Mohawk, NJ R+8
- Richmond Heights, FL D+39
- Cape Elizabeth, ME D+46
- Princeton, NC R+48
- Laughlin, NV R+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.