Smith Point leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Smith Point typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smith Point, ~14% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smith Point compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smith Point leans more Republican than 22 of 34 neighbors.
Smith Point runs about 34 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Smith Point leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smith Point, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Smith Point live in densely developed areas, about 33 points below the Texas average of 35%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Smith Point sits in the bottom quarter (about 6%, below 98% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Smith Point, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Smith Point looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Smith Point is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 9 points below the Texas average of 54%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Smith Point sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Oak Island, TX R+59
- Bolivar Peninsula, TX R+55
- Gilchrist, TX R+61
- Double Bayou, TX R+53
- San Leon, TX R+26
- Anahuac, TX R+52
- Beach City, TX R+68
- Bacliff, TX R+21
- Texas City, TX D+10
- Monroe City, TX R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cortelyou, AL R+18
- Wetaug, IL R+44
- School Creek, NE R+63
- Colegrove, PA R+54
- Mineral Hill, NM D+31
- Dalcour, LA R+10
- Monteith, IA R+41
- Hogtown, NY R+30
- Coal City, PA R+53
- West Hampton Dunes, NY Even
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.