Bolivar Peninsula is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Bolivar Peninsula typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bolivar Peninsula, ~17% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bolivar Peninsula compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bolivar Peninsula leans more Republican than 18 of 22 neighbors.
Bolivar Peninsula runs about 41 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Bolivar Peninsula leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bolivar Peninsula, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Bolivar Peninsula hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Texas average of 26%.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a low never-married share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bolivar Peninsula, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bolivar Peninsula looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 99% of adults in Bolivar Peninsula have completed high school, about 13 points above the Texas average of 86%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Bolivar Peninsula sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Bolivar Peninsula own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Smith Point, TX R+47
- Gilchrist, TX R+61
- Galveston, TX D+14
- Oak Island, TX R+59
- San Leon, TX R+26
- Texas City, TX D+10
- Tiki Island, TX R+48
- Bayou Vista, TX R+35
- High Island, TX R+58
- Double Bayou, TX R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Talty, TX R+54
- Beverly, WV R+54
- Brooklyn, IA R+44
- Payne, OH R+63
- Lena, WI R+44
- Star Prairie, WI R+37
- Sparta, KY R+62
- Faison, NC R+16
- Ringtown, PA R+46
- Caledonia, OH R+60
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.