Hogtown leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Hogtown typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hogtown, ~29% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hogtown compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hogtown leans more Republican than 64 of 84 neighbors.
Hogtown runs about 42 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hogtown is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hogtown leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hogtown, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Hogtown live in densely developed areas, about 33 points below the New York average of 36%. Hogtown runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hogtown, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Hogtown looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hogtown is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Clemons, NY R+33
- Kattskill Bay, NY R+21
- Whitehall, NY R+40
- Bolton Landing, NY Even
- Comstock, NY R+6
- Diamond Point, NY Even
- West Fort Ann, NY R+33
- Low Hampton, NY R+43
- Fort Ann, NY R+38
- Silver Bay, NY R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alfred, ND R+60
- Seneca Rocks, WV R+72
- Fieldton, TX R+66
- Grove City, IL R+59
- Pinecreek, MN R+58
- Mineral Hill, NM D+31
- Jolietville, IN R+48
- School Creek, NE R+63
- Wacker, IL R+34
- Raven Branch, TN R+70
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.