Smithshire leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Smithshire typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smithshire, ~17% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smithshire compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smithshire leans more Republican than 38 of 56 neighbors.
Smithshire runs about 57 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Smithshire is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Smithshire leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smithshire, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Smithshire votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Smithshire runs about 57 points more Republican. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Smithshire is about 96%, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Smithshire are family households, above 92% of cities.
Developed land, local retail density, and voter turnout
Places that combine a rural land-use pattern and dense local retail within a mile tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Smithshire, IL does.
Why turnout in Smithshire looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Smithshire own their home, about 11 points above the Illinois average of 80%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Media, IL R+51
- Kirkwood, IL R+43
- Raritan, IL R+50
- Roseville, IL R+41
- Biggsville, IL R+39
- Stronghurst, IL R+48
- Rozetta, IL R+42
- Olena, IL R+44
- Swan Creek, IL R+45
- Ormonde, IL R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cove Neck, NY R+13
- Glenn, GA R+70
- Dixie Inn, LA R+40
- Blachleyville, OH R+61
- Doss, MO R+76
- Kingston, LA R+21
- Donation, PA R+59
- Whipple, AR R+69
- Glen, MT R+50
- Angelus Oaks, CA R+23
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.