Cove Neck leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Cove Neck typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cove Neck, ~38% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cove Neck compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cove Neck leans more Republican than 162 of 243 neighbors.
Cove Neck runs about 25 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Cove Neck is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Cove Neck leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cove Neck, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cove Neck votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 20%, well below the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Cove Neck are family households, above 90% of cities. Cove Neck runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Cove Neck, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Cove Neck looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Cove Neck is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Cove Neck have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Centre Island, NY R+16
- Oyster Bay Cove, NY R+19
- Oyster Bay, NY R+13
- Laurel Hollow, NY R+15
- Lloyd Harbor, NY R+6
- Cold Spring Harbor, NY R+7
- East Norwich, NY R+19
- Mill Neck, NY R+8
- Bayville, NY R+23
- Upper Brookville, NY R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bloomingvale, SC D+9
- Sugar Grove, WV R+62
- Smithshire, IL R+46
- Isom, KY R+65
- Angelus Oaks, CA R+23
- Forest, NC R+58
- Lydia, SC D+24
- West Stewartstown, NH R+40
- Scotland, AR R+69
- Franklin, AZ R+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.