Smyrna Mills leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 85% of adults in Smyrna Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smyrna Mills, ~23% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smyrna Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smyrna Mills leans more Republican than 16 of 21 neighbors.
Smyrna Mills runs about 53 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Smyrna Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Smyrna Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smyrna Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Smyrna Mills votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Smyrna Mills runs about 53 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Smyrna Mills, ME sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Smyrna Mills looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Smyrna Mills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 53%, about 7 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in Smyrna Mills own their home, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dyer Brook, ME R+45
- Oakfield, ME R+45
- Smyrna Center, ME R+48
- Ludlow, ME R+48
- Island Falls, ME R+45
- New Limerick, ME R+44
- Linneus, ME R+44
- Patten, ME R+28
- Houlton, ME R+28
- Littleton, ME R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Portland, IL R+37
- DeVol, OK R+74
- Rucker, MO R+51
- Gowen, OK R+68
- Cherry Creek, SD D+37
- Bellmont, IL R+67
- Heth, AR R+31
- Wyattville, MN R+43
- Pungo, NC R+54
- Hamricks Corner, OR R+36
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.