South Berne, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in South Berne

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

South Berne leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.

 

About 87% of adults in South Berne typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Berne, ~33% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How South Berne compares

Among cities within 25 miles, South Berne leans more Republican than 59 of 138 neighbors.

South Berne runs about 36 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while South Berne is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within South Berne. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 17 points.

Why South Berne leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Berne, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

South Berne votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while South Berne runs about 36 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in South Berne are family households, above 80% of cities.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; South Berne, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in South Berne looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. South Berne is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in South Berne own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in South Berne have completed high school, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.