South Bristol leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 77% of adults in South Bristol typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Bristol, ~36% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Bristol compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Bristol leans more Republican than 20 of 114 neighbors.
South Bristol runs about 18 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while South Bristol is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why South Bristol leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Bristol, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 79% of households in South Bristol are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%. South Bristol runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; South Bristol, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in South Bristol looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. South Bristol is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in South Bristol own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in South Bristol have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Honeoye, NY R+14
- Vine Valley, NY R+31
- Cheshire, NY D+7
- Bristol, NY R+16
- Naples, NY R+15
- Hunt Hollow, NY R+21
- Middlesex, NY R+39
- Rushville, NY R+34
- Bloomfield, NY R+16
- Hemlock, NY R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zortman, MT R+59
- Lund, ID R+67
- Weisel, PA R+25
- Eden, AZ R+76
- Genegantslet, NY R+35
- Sigsbee, GA R+72
- Lindsay, MT R+76
- New Waverly, IN R+54
- Morrisville Station, NY R+26
- Pitcairn, NY R+43
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.