Vine Valley, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Vine Valley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Vine Valley leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.

 

About 78% of adults in Vine Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vine Valley, ~27% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Vine Valley compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Vine Valley leans more Republican than 73 of 112 neighbors.

Vine Valley runs about 44 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Vine Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vine Valley. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+39), a spread of about 50 points.

Why Vine Valley leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vine Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Vine Valley votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Vine Valley runs about 44 points more Republican.

Renting and voter turnout

Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Vine Valley, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Vine Valley looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Vine Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 65% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 98% of households in Vine Valley own their home, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.