South Cairo, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in South Cairo

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

South Cairo leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.

 

About 77% of adults in South Cairo typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Cairo, ~28% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How South Cairo compares

Among cities within 25 miles, South Cairo leans more Republican than 123 of 135 neighbors.

South Cairo runs about 41 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while South Cairo is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within South Cairo. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+37) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 20 points.

Why South Cairo leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Cairo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in South Cairo drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%. South Cairo runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; South Cairo, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in South Cairo looks the way it does

Turnout in South Cairo sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.