South Lincoln leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 76% of adults in South Lincoln typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Lincoln, ~26% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Lincoln compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Lincoln leans more Republican than 7 of 37 neighbors.
South Lincoln runs about 39 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while South Lincoln is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within South Lincoln. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 13 points.
Why South Lincoln leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Lincoln, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
South Lincoln votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while South Lincoln runs about 39 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in South Lincoln are family households, above 96% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; South Lincoln, ME sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in South Lincoln looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in South Lincoln own their home, about 14 points above the Maine average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lincoln, ME R+28
- Enfield, ME R+34
- West Enfield, ME R+32
- Lincoln Center, ME R+30
- Howland, ME R+39
- Lowell, ME R+39
- Burlington, ME R+38
- Seboeis, ME R+38
- Passadumkeag, ME R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ragland, WV R+75
- Clay Center, NE R+65
- Allensville, KY R+55
- Altheimer, AR D+2
- Salkum, WA R+42
- Mcarthur, CA R+45
- Piney Creek, NC R+61
- Arrey, NM R+22
- Wilsonville, IL R+47
- Robinsons Corner, CA R+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.