South Toms River, NJ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in South Toms River

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

South Toms River is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.

 

About 60% of adults in South Toms River typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Toms River, ~29% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How South Toms River compares

Among cities within 25 miles, South Toms River sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 13 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 94 leaning the other way.

South Toms River runs about 8 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within South Toms River. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 18 points.

Why South Toms River leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in South Toms River. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout

Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as South Toms River, NJ does.

Why turnout in South Toms River looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. South Toms River is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 8% of homes in South Toms River have more than one occupant per room, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.