Southwest Garden is a Democratic stronghold. About 77% of voters here vote Democratic and 23% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Southwest Garden typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Southwest Garden, ~44% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Southwest Garden compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Southwest Garden leans more Democratic than 9 of 33 neighbors.
Southwest Garden runs about 71 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Southwest Garden is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Southwest Garden. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+73) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+31), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Southwest Garden leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Southwest Garden, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Southwest Garden live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in Southwest Garden have never been married, above 89% of neighborhoods. Southwest Garden runs against the grain of Missouri, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Southwest Garden, St. Louis, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Southwest Garden looks the way it does
Turnout in Southwest Garden sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- North Hampton, St. Louis, MO D+54
- Clifton Heights, St. Louis, MO D+36
- Tower Grove South, St. Louis, MO D+65
- Shaw, St. Louis, MO D+75
- South Hampton, St. Louis, MO D+55
- Forest Park Southeast, St. Louis, MO D+73
- Lindenwood Park, St. Louis, MO D+39
- Franz Park, St. Louis, MO D+53
- Bevo Mill, St. Louis, MO D+40
- Tower Grove East, St. Louis, MO D+76
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Woodcreek Oaks, Roseville, CA R+7
- Meadow Wood, Aurora, CO D+12
- Arlington, Jacksonville, FL D+18
- Rancho San Antonio, Oakland, CA D+50
- Groesbeck, Cincinnati, OH R+4
- East Dedham, Dedham, MA D+28
- Concord, Staten Island, NY D+6
- Indian Springs, The Woodlands, TX R+34
- Coeur D'Alene Place, Coeur d'Alene, ID R+43
- Tri-Village, Columbus, OH D+48
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.