Shaw is a Democratic stronghold. About 88% of voters here vote Democratic and 12% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Shaw typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shaw, ~61% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shaw compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Shaw leans more Democratic than 25 of 35 neighbors.
Shaw runs about 94 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Shaw is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Shaw leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shaw, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 73% of adults in Shaw hold a bachelor's degree, about 45 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Shaw sits in the top fifth on density (more than 99%, above 89% of neighborhoods). Shaw runs against the grain of Missouri, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Shaw, St. Louis, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Shaw looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Shaw is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Shaw have completed high school, above 85% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Tower Grove East, St. Louis, MO D+76
- Tower Grove South, St. Louis, MO D+65
- Forest Park Southeast, St. Louis, MO D+73
- The Gate District, St. Louis, MO D+75
- Benton Park West, St. Louis, MO D+74
- Southwest Garden, St. Louis, MO D+53
- Gravois Park, St. Louis, MO D+72
- Midtown St. Louis, St. Louis, MO D+71
- Benton Park, St. Louis, MO D+74
- North Hampton, St. Louis, MO D+54
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Southwest Area, Cedar Rapids, IA D+21
- Columbia Forest, Arlington, VA D+51
- Lindenville, South San Francisco, CA D+40
- East Gloucester, Gloucester, MA D+16
- Delta, Everett, WA D+16
- Lower South Providence, Providence, RI D+39
- Century City, Los Angeles, CA D+42
- Pelican Bay, Naples, FL R+23
- West University, Tucson, AZ D+58
- Plaza-Eastway, Charlotte, NC D+74
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.