Spavinaw is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Spavinaw typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Spavinaw, ~12% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Spavinaw compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Spavinaw leans more Republican than 21 of 42 neighbors.
Spavinaw runs about 11 points more Republican than Oklahoma as a whole.
Why Spavinaw leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Spavinaw, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Spavinaw hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the Oklahoma average of 21%.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Spavinaw, OK sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Spavinaw looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 24% of adults in Spavinaw report food insecurity, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Spavinaw sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Spavinaw have completed high school, below 75% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Strang, OK R+63
- Langley, OK R+58
- Kenwood, OK R+60
- Disney, OK R+58
- Pensacola, OK R+65
- Salina, OK R+56
- Grand Lake Towne, OK R+55
- Eucha, OK R+54
- Ketchum, OK R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Evans, LA R+87
- McClellan, WV R+61
- Hull, AL R+80
- Warren Center, PA R+60
- Top-of-the-World, CA D+5
- Sparta, OH R+55
- Andersonville, VA R+43
- Saxeville, WI R+33
- Skidway Lake, MI R+45
- Flagtown, NJ R+4
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oklahoma State Election Board, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.