Top-of-the-World is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Top-of-the-World typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Top-of-the-World, ~43% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Top-of-the-World compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Top-of-the-World leans more Democratic than 39 of 52 neighbors.
Top-of-the-World runs about 15 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Why Top-of-the-World leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Top-of-the-World. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Top-of-the-World, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Top-of-the-World looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Top-of-the-World is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Top-of-the-World own their home, compared to around 68% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Top-of-the-World have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Aliso Viejo, CA D+11
- Laguna Woods, CA D+12
- Laguna Hills, CA D+2
- Laguna Beach, CA D+14
- Laguna Niguel, CA Even
- Lake Forest, CA D+2
- Mission Viejo, CA R+3
- Newport Coast, CA R+10
- Ladera Ranch, CA Even
- Irvine, CA D+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Warren Center, PA R+60
- Hull, AL R+80
- Clifton, OH R+24
- Skidway Lake, MI R+45
- Saxeville, WI R+33
- McClellan, WV R+61
- Andersonville, VA R+43
- Flagtown, NJ R+4
- Sparta, OH R+55
- Oak City, UT R+71
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.