Spring Grove leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Spring Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Spring Grove, ~29% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Spring Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Spring Grove leans more Republican than 28 of 92 neighbors.
Spring Grove runs about 54 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Spring Grove is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Spring Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Spring Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Spring Grove drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Spring Grove runs against the grain of Maryland, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Spring Grove, MD sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Spring Grove looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Spring Grove is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 61%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mardela Springs, MD R+32
- Rabbit Town, MD R+30
- Sharptown, MD R+37
- Vienna, MD R+36
- Reids Grove, MD R+31
- Hebron, MD R+23
- Galestown, MD R+50
- Portsville, DE R+52
- Eldorado, MD R+50
- Salem, MD R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vaucluse, VA R+28
- Drury, MA R+8
- Roman, VA R+42
- Tennille, AL R+60
- Cottage, NY R+45
- Goodrich, ND R+69
- Central City, SD R+51
- Foster City, MI R+40
- Hague, ND R+74
- Green Road, KY R+78
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.