Springdale leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Springdale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Springdale, ~22% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Springdale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Springdale leans more Republican than 3 of 7 neighbors.
Springdale runs about 23 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Springdale. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+37), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Springdale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Springdale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Springdale live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Montana average of 13%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Springdale are family households, above 76% of cities.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Springdale, MT does.
Why turnout in Springdale looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Springdale is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Springdale have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mc Leod, MT R+53
- Clyde Park, MT R+36
- Livingston, MT R+6
- Big Timber, MT R+51
- Pine Creek, MT R+29
- Limestone, MT R+49
- Greycliff, MT R+59
- Wilsall, MT R+40
- Melville, MT R+64
- Pray, MT R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sedan, MN R+49
- Alvan, IL R+62
- Coble, TN R+73
- Tobias, NE R+58
- Coyanosa, TX R+52
- West Plymouth, NH D+19
- Prescott, IN R+57
- Westons Mills, NY R+35
- Charlemont, VA R+56
- New Santa Fe, IN R+64
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.