Melville is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Melville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Melville, ~13% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Melville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Melville leans more Republican than 2 of 3 neighbors.
Melville runs about 44 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Why Melville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Melville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Melville live in densely developed areas, about 12 points below the Montana average of 13%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Melville are family households, above 87% of cities.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Melville, MT does.
Why turnout in Melville looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in Melville have completed high school, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Big Timber, MT R+51
- Greycliff, MT R+59
- Twodot, MT R+68
- Harlowton, MT R+66
- Springdale, MT R+43
- Mc Leod, MT R+53
- Shawmut, MT R+66
- Wilsall, MT R+40
- Rapelje, MT R+75
- Reed Point, MT R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zone, OH R+62
- Petersburg, ND R+42
- Lawco, OH R+65
- Yellowpine, TX R+55
- Oliveburg, PA R+70
- Hinkleville, KY R+63
- Bearcreek, MT R+59
- Troxelville, PA R+71
- Wilpen, MN R+17
- Mansion View, AL R+62
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.