St. Augustine Shores leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 92% of adults in St. Augustine Shores typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in St. Augustine Shores, ~36% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How St. Augustine Shores compares
Among cities within 25 miles, St. Augustine Shores leans more Republican than 4 of 31 neighbors.
St. Augustine Shores runs about 10 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why St. Augustine Shores leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for St. Augustine Shores, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
St. Augustine Shores votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 66%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; St. Augustine Shores, FL sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in St. Augustine Shores looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. St. Augustine Shores is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Augustine South, FL R+23
- St. Augustine Beach, FL R+22
- Butler Beach, FL R+27
- Vermont Heights, FL R+40
- Elkton, FL R+51
- St. Augustine, FL R+21
- Vilano Beach, FL R+27
- Hastings, FL R+28
- Spuds, FL R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glennville, GA R+42
- Aurora, IN R+53
- Philomath, OR D+26
- Gray, ME Even
- Monona, WI D+58
- Vandergrift, PA R+29
- Valley Park, MO D+8
- Salem, AL R+57
- Flagler Beach, FL R+37
- Maylene, AL R+34
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.