St. Elmo is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 58% of adults in St. Elmo typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in St. Elmo, ~12% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How St. Elmo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, St. Elmo leans more Republican than 22 of 64 neighbors.
St. Elmo runs about 28 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why St. Elmo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for St. Elmo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 77% of households in St. Elmo are family households, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; St. Elmo, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in St. Elmo looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 96% of adults in St. Elmo have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Oak Grove, KY R+15
- Pembroke, KY R+50
- Trenton, KY R+57
- Fort Campbell North, KY R+5
- Fort Campbell, TN R+26
- Howel, KY R+63
- Fairview, KY R+56
- Hampton Station, TN R+30
- Hadensville, KY R+50
- Clarksville, TN R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tyner, IN R+51
- Tuscola, MS D+9
- Locke Mills, ME R+25
- McIllwain, TN R+67
- Kessler, WV R+62
- Nininger, MN R+20
- Du Bois, IL R+58
- West Shelby, NY R+44
- Buffington, PA R+28
- Norway Grove, WI R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.