Yellowtail leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Yellowtail typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Yellowtail, ~23% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Yellowtail compares
Yellowtail sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable cities nearby.
Yellowtail runs about 8 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Yellowtail. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Yellowtail leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Yellowtail, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Yellowtail live in densely developed areas, about 12 points below the Montana average of 13%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Yellowtail, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Yellowtail looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Yellowtail own their home, about 14 points above the Montana average of 77%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Yellowtail sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Xavier, MT R+30
- Lodge Grass, MT D+26
- Wyola, MT D+5
- Garryowen, MT D+37
- Crow Agency, MT D+28
- Pryor, MT R+13
- Hardin, MT R+18
- Parkman, WY R+62
- Cowley, WY R+77
- Lovell, WY R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jeddo, AL R+73
- Fishtail, MT R+40
- Collins, TN R+68
- Southworth, OH R+70
- Chelsea, IN R+62
- Chesterfield, NJ R+18
- Emery, UT R+78
- Fickle, IN R+56
- North Bloomfield, NY R+13
- Rhame, ND R+80
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.