Stafford leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Stafford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stafford, ~25% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stafford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stafford leans more Republican than 71 of 127 neighbors.
Stafford runs about 68 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Stafford is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Stafford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stafford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Stafford votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Stafford runs about 68 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Stafford, MD sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Stafford looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Stafford is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 67% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Glenville, MD R+36
- Darlington, MD R+47
- Conowingo, MD R+53
- Port Deposit, MD R+45
- Frenchtown, MD R+30
- Colora, MD R+49
- Churchville, MD R+22
- Havre de Grace, MD D+5
- Rock Springs, MD R+53
- Perryville, MD R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Uniontown, IN R+63
- Patton, AL R+85
- Sanders, MT R+71
- Farrandsville, PA R+63
- Gann, OH R+65
- Lower Kalskag, AK D+29
- Bowers, DE R+36
- Siloam, TX R+76
- La Plant, SD D+49
- Oldtown, VA R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.